BLS Analysis for May 2019

Bob Marshall’s May 2019 BLS Analysis for Recruiters; 6/12/19

May BLS Preface

TBMG Coaching Updates and Product News:

“Robocruiter and The Total Account Executive—An Eleven-Part Series”; April -July 2019

We began this series on April 23, 2019.  If you missed either of the first two parts, please let us know.  FYI, here are the eleven topics and the release dates:

April 23 – Part One – The Total Account Executive – The Definition; Commitment is Key; The Recruiter and the Doctor

April 30 – Part Two – The 10 manifestations of failure due to the lack of commitment

May 7 – Part Three – The 8 tenets managers should follow to ensure success in their offices

May 14 – Part Four – The 6 reasons why we market

May 21 – Part Five – Marketing with the Feature-Accomplishment-Benefit (FAB)

May 28 – Part Six – “I have arranged…”

June 4 – (no installment today as I will be in San Diego/Irvine, CA, speaking at the CSP Annual Meeting)

June 11 – Part Seven – ‘Recruitable’ Job Orders and the qualities they possess

June 18 – Part Eight – How to qualify the Job Order

June 25 – Part Nine – The 5 reasons why AEs don’t close

July 2 – Part Ten – The 13 Motivational Paths

July 9 – Part Eleven – The 5 things you will lose by implementing these techniques

National Association of Personnel Consultants (NAPS), 2019 Annual Conference, Hyatt Regency Hill Country Resort & Spa, San Antonio, TX, September 22-24, 2019

I have been invited by NAPS to present again, and so I will at the NAPS Annual Conference in San Antonio, TX, September 22-24, 2019.  

My presentation will be on Monday morning, September 23rd, 2019, at 10am, Eastern Time.  The title of the presentation is, “The Total Account Executive – How to Find, Hire, Train and Retain Them” – this is a presentation for both those who want to find them and for those who want to become them!

* Special San Antonio area Note:  For those of you in the San Antonio area, if you are interested in my in-office training (individual and desk-level) and are available for that training during the September 23rd to September 27th time window, please let me know for a special offer.  Since I will be in the San Antonio area for my NAPS presentation, I will offer a discount on my usual fees plus NO charge for my airfare or other expenses.  First come, first served, so contact me for specific details as soon as possible.  Thanks!

WHY A COACH?

In the opinion of ex-Dallas Cowboys football coach Tom Landry who coached from 1960-1988, “A coach is someone who tells you what you don’t want to hear, who has you see what you don’t want to see, so you can be who you have always known you could be.”

Is now the time to pick a Coach?

I realize that taking that first step to engage a Coach to help you reach a higher level of production is not as easy as it sounds.  After all, your training investment – and your time – are important and deserve every consideration.  I share your feelings.  I believe that how you approach your recruitment career matters…that you should get what you pay for, and then some…that you should enjoy your time with your Coach as you are benefiting from it…and that you should never settle for the ordinary.

So, for those of you who have been toying with the idea of working with a recruitment coach, now may be the time.  Only you can come to that decision point.

When considering ‘individual change management’, consider this theosophical proverb: When the student is ready, the teacher will appear!”

“Teachers open the door; but you must enter by yourself”—Chinese Proverb

“Bob Marshall is a speaker’s speaker and a trainer’s trainer.  He has a gift for taking the cornerstones of the business and compelling people and teams to not only hone their skills but to execute. We’ve had Bob engage our teams a number of times over the last few years and our groups always come away more focused on the core and more energized to perform. Come ready to learn because this man knows the business and will make you better!”

—David Alexander, President, Adecco & Soliant, January 2017

Preface

Many of you continue to correspond with me about these monthly BLS analyses and have asked if it is OK to use them in your presentations.  The answer is, of course, yes!  That is why I spend the time to assemble this information.  I would encourage any of you who have that desire to weave any of the information I have printed below into your presentations.  I write these analyses for the benefit of our recruitment industry in general and for the members of my distribution list in particular.  So use this info as you deem appropriate.

I also write these monthly BLS analyses to not only counterbalance the negative/incorrect press reporting of our general economic state but, more than that, to remind all of my recruitment readers that, at the level we work, there is no unemployment and so we must recruit to find the candidates our client companies so desperately need!

So, to my recruiter colleagues, get out there and do what your name implies…RECRUIT!  When your client companies have unique and difficult positions to fill, they need you.  When they are being picky, they need you.  When they are longing for more production from fewer employees, they need you.  Go fill those needs.  These should be the halcyon days in the recruitment arena!

Finally, always remember that we are not in an HR business, but in a ‘circumventing the time factor in the hiring sequence’ business—and adding value to our client companies.

More Than a Quarter of Employees Plan to Leave Jobs Within Year; Salary, Flexibility Concerns

Daily News, June 12, 2019

More than a quarter of employees, 29%, plan to leave their jobs in the next 12 months, according to results from the 2019 Emerging Workforce Study released today by staffing firm Spherion.  However, the number is higher for millennials at 38%.

Among drivers of turnover, according to the report, 42% of workers aren’t happy with their current salaries, and 62% say flexibility at work and other work-life balance programs and perks have decreased over the past year.  Only 19% of employees feel their company has put in the effort to retain them.

“Employers need to proactively pursue ways to get more aligned with what employees want and need and what drives them,” Spherion President Rebecca Rogers Tijerino said.  “With the incredibly tight labor market, it’s even more important for employers to evolve their approaches to recruiting and engaging employees so they can attract the right talent and win in the marketplace.”

The survey included responses from 2,115 employed adults, and it included responses from 731 human resource managers.

It found that 71% of the HR managers are more worried this year about the talent shortage, citing finding qualified/skilled workers and turnover/retention as top concerns.  In addition, only a third believe their employees are highly engaged — compared to 48% of employees who say they are highly engaged.

It also found employees want real-time feedback, but 58% of employers conduct performance reviews just once per year, and 18% of workers said their employers don’t do performance reviews.

Big Data, Cybersecurity and AI Among Scarcest Tech Skills

Daily News, June 12, 2019

The technology skills shortage is at its highest level since 2008, according to the 2019 Harvey Nash/KPMG CIO Survey released today by IT staffing firm Harvey Nash Inc.  And the 3 most-scarce tech skills include big data/analytics with 44% of CIOs citing it as most scarce; cybersecurity with 39% pointing to it; and artificial intelligence, cited by 39%.

“Companies are having the hardest time in more than a decade finding the technology talent they need,” said Sean Gilligan, president, technology recruitment, North America, Harvey Nash.

“One of the growing trends we are now seeing is the client requesting professionals who have more of a hybrid of skills — someone with expertise in multiple cloud platforms, a software engineer experienced in DevOps, or a front-end developer who can do mobile,” Gilligan said.  “Having these blended capabilities is a major asset for companies of all sizes, but it is rare.”

Harvey Nash’s survey included responses from 3,645 CIOs and technology leaders in 108 countries. It was conducted between Dec. 13 and April 4.

Recruiting in Creative Fields Set to Intensify

Daily News, June 11, 2019

Recruiting in the creative and marketing fields is expected to intensify for the remainder of the year, according to The Creative Group, a division of Robert Half International Inc.

It found that 75% of advertising and marketing hiring decision-makers plan to expand their teams in the second half of the year, up from 60% in a similar survey six months ago.  In addition, 62% plan to increase the number of freelancers they use.

However, 86% said it’s somewhat or very challenging to locate the creative talent they need, and 45% reported being understaffed.

The survey included more than 400 advertising and marketing hiring decision-makers who work full time at agencies with 20 or more employees or companies with 100 or more employees in the US.

Employers May Be Paying Too Much to Attract Talent

Daily News, June 11, 2019

US employers may be paying too much to attract new talent, according to a study by Gartner Inc.  It said US companies are offering average salary increases of about 15% to new employees, while US employees expect approximately a 10% salary increase to switch employers.

The data comes from Gartner’s 1Q19 Global Talent Monitor report.

“Not only are US employers often paying too much to new workers, but once tenured employees discover discrepancies between their salaries and those of new colleagues, they may be more inclined to look for another position elsewhere,” said Brian Kropp, group VP in the Gartner HR practice.

Gartner’s report also found 25% of US employees were actively looking for another job compared to the global average of 27%.

To help attract employees, Gartner said companies should develop a strong “employee value proposition,” or EVP, that includes benefits and compensation, career and development opportunities, job-interest alignment, and work-life balance.

“When companies invest and deliver a strong EVP, engagement levels in their workforce will likely see a boost — not only in the ability to retain talent, but also in attracting sought-after talent,” Kropp said.  “In this hypercompetitive US labor market, organizations with attractive EVPs can reduce the compensation premium needed to attract qualified candidates as well as potentially decrease annual employee turnover by just under 70%, all of which helps the company’s bottom line and brand reputation.”

Gartner’s report is based on a survey of more than 40,000 employees in 40 countries.

US Posts Highest Net Employment Outlook Since 2006: ManpowerGroup

Daily News, June 11, 2019

Hiring intentions in the US are the highest since 2006, according to ManpowerGroup Inc.’s Employment Outlook Survey for the third quarter.

The survey, which included more than 11,500 employers, asked “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of September 2019 compared to the current quarter?”

According to the results, 27% said they planned to increase payrolls, 3% planned to decrease payrolls, 69% planned no changes and 1% said they didn’t know.  That made for a net employment outlook of 24%; when seasonally adjusted, the outlook goes to 21%.

It’s that 21% seasonally adjusted net employment outlook that is the highest in 13 years.

ManpowerGroup’s report also broke down the results by 13 industry sectors, with “professional and business services” recording the highest seasonally adjusted net employment outlook at 28%.  Next-highest was “leisure and hospitality” at 27%.  

“Information” posted the lowest seasonally adjusted net employment outlook at 14%.

Of the 4 US geographic regions — the West, Midwest, Northeast and South — the highest seasonally adjusted net employment outlook was in the west at 22%.  The reading was 21% in the Midwest, 20% in the South and 19% in the Northeast.

Among US metropolitan areas, the Charlotte, North Carolina, area had the highest net employment outlook in the survey at 37%.  Next-highest was Grand Rapids, Michigan, at 36%.

“At a time of record-low unemployment and employer optimism at levels we haven’t seen since the mid-2000s, we need to do more to connect people to jobs if we’re going to sustain economic growth,” said Becky Frankiewicz, president of ManpowerGroup North America.  “To find and retain top talent, the best companies are offering holistic benefits packages with accelerated training programs and opportunities to learn, earn more and move up so employees have the skills for jobs today and tomorrow.”

ManpowerGroup also surveyed companies globally, including 59,000 employers in 44 countries and territories around the world.

Canada had a seasonally adjusted net employment outlook of 12%; Mexico was at 10%.

The highest seasonally adjusted net employment outlook among countries was 25% in Japan, followed by 22% in Taiwan. In the UK, it was 4%.

Tech Unemployment Rate at 20-Year Low; CompTIA

Daily News, June 10, 2019

CompTIA reported the unemployment rate for technology occupations in the US fell to a 20-year low of 1.3% in May based on an analysis of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Employment Situation report released last Friday.

However, the IT industry organization noted growth was modest compared to previous months.

“The data confirms what employers have been saying for months and even years – the demand for tech talent has reached historic levels,” said Tim Herbert, executive VP for research and market intelligence at CompTIA.

“There is now the very real prospect of tech worker shortages affecting industry growth,” Herbert said.  “Firms seeking to expand into new areas such as the Internet of Things, robotic process automation or artificial intelligence may be inhibited by a lack of workers with these advanced skills, not to mention shortages in the complementary areas of technology infrastructure and cybersecurity.”

IT occupations across the US rose by an estimated 133,000 jobs.  The fastest growth was in “technology services, custom software development and computer systems design” which added 8,400 new hires.

Majority of Accounting Leaders Optimistic About US Economy; Outlook Steady for Third Straight Quarter

Daily News, June 6, 2019

Among certified public accountants who hold leadership roles, 57% are optimistic about the US economy over the next 12 months, according to results from the Economic Outlook Survey released today by the Association of International Certified Professional Accountants.  It was the third straight quarter optimism has held at that level.  However, the percentage is lower than the 74% who said the same in the second quarter of 2018.

Respondents who said their companies have too few employees and are ready to hire immediately edged up slightly in the quarter to 28% from 26% in last quarter’s survey.  Those who want to hire but are hesitant because of uncertainty also edged up to 16% from 15%.

Availability of skilled talent remains a top challenge, and employee/benefit costs and staff turnover were top challenges as well, according to the AICPA survey.

Respondents forecast a 2.7% increase in salary and benefit costs over the next 12 months, up 0.1% from last quarter’s forecast.

Overall, 86% expected to increase salary and wages in the next 12 months.  Only 8% didn’t expect to raise wages.

The survey took place from May 7 to May 28 and included 785 qualified responses from certified public accountants who hold leadership positions.

Getting Candidates Interested in Job Among Most Difficult Aspects of Hiring Process

Daily News, May 29, 2019

What is the hardest part of the hiring process?  A survey of more than 2,800 senior managers conducted by professional staffing firm Robert Half International Inc. found that 35% said “generating interest from qualified candidates” was the most difficult.

It was followed by “asking the right interview questions” at 20% and “developing compensation packages and negotiating salaries” at 19%.

Robert Half also asked about the most common reason candidates give for turning down a job offer.  Cited by 30% of senior execs each, the two most-common reasons were compensation and benefits being lower than expected and that the candidate accepted another job offer or counteroffer.  The next most-cited reason, at 13%, was limited opportunities for career growth or advancement.

Another question posed was “aside from poor performance, what’s most likely to lead to a failed hire?”  The top answer, cited by 30%, was a mismatched skill set.  Next was unclear performance expectations at 26% followed by personality conflicts at 23% and failure to fit into corporate culture at 21%.

More Than Half of Job Seekers Want Raise of Higher Than 10% to Stay with Current Firm; Only 10% of Employers willing to Offer it to ‘Star’ Workers

Daily News, May 24, 2019

A survey by Express Employment Professionals found that 57% of job seekers said they would require a raise of more than 10% to stay with their current employer rather than accept a new job offer.  However, only 10% of employers surveyed said they would be willing to offer a raise of more than 10%, even to a ‘star’ employee.

“It has never been easier for workers to jump between jobs,” Express CEO Bill Stoller said.  “And because workers are so mobile, there’s less fear about leaving a ‘good job’ for a pay increase.”

If a new job doesn’t work out, there are plenty of other employers ready to hire.

“Businesses have to keep their finger on the pulse of the local economy, or they risk losing the talent wars,” Stoller said.

The survey asked job seekers, “if offered a new job, how much of a pay increase would it take to stay with your current employer?” Here is how they responded:

Employers were also asked, “if a ‘star’ employee were offered a job with another company, how much of a pay increase over their current salary or wage would you offer to retain them?”  Here is how they responded:

Nearly Half of Millennials Would Quit Their Current Job in 2 Years; 4 in 5 Would Freelance

Daily News, May 23, 2019

Nearly half of millennials, 49%, would quit their current job in the next 2 years if they had a choice, according to the 2019 Deloitte Millennial Survey released this week.  That’s up from 38% in Deloitte’s 2017 report and the highest it has recorded.

Dissatisfaction with pay, cited by 43%, was a top reason millennials gave for wanting to leave.  Not enough opportunities to advance was second with 35% saying this, and lack of learning and development opportunities was cited by 28%.

Millennials expecting to stay with their employers for 5 years or more represented 28% of survey responses, unchanged from last year.  The survey found a strong correlation between millennials who plan to stay in their current jobs and those who said their companies deliver on diversity and inclusion.

The survey also found 4 in 5 millennials would do freelance or contract work, but only 6% said they have chosen to be part of the gig economy instead of working full time.  Still, 61% said they would take a gig assignment to supplement existing employment.

Those who would join the gig economy cited the chance to earn more money, 58%; work the hours they want, 41%; or achieve better work/life balance, 37%, as reasons for considering it.  The main reason for not considering the gig economy was its perceived uncertainty.

Deloitte’s survey questioned 13,416 millennials in 42 countries.  Other findings included:

*Some 70% of millennials believe they have only some of, or few of, the skills required to succeed in industry.

*46% of millennials believe the changing nature of work will make it tougher to find or change jobs.  But when it comes to training, millennials believe business is more responsible for training workers to meet evolving challenges.

*49% of millennials believe new technologies will augment their jobs.

Some Say Keep AI Out of Candidate Selection Virtual Job Interviews: Survey

Daily News, May 15, 2019

More than two-thirds of Americans don’t think artificial intelligence should have a role in certain hiring tasks, according to a survey of 2,029 adults by Yoh, a staffing provider that is part of Day & Zimmermann.

Those roles in which Americans don’t believe AI should have a role include:

*Selecting the candidate that is hired for a position, 42%

*Conducting virtual job interviews, 32%

*Assessing if a candidate is being truthful about their level of experience or qualifications during an interview, 30%

*Delivering job rejections to candidates not selected for a position, 26%

*Screening résumés, 22%

*Assisting with the onboarding process for new hires (for example, signing up for benefits, computer login setup and email registration), 19%

“Despite a majority of Americans’ skepticism of it, AI technology has been helping companies make better and more informed hiring decisions for years, both for the company and the candidates,” said Emmett McGrath, president of Yoh.

“However, AI technology should be used only to augment and enhance, not replace, the recruitment function,” McGrath continued.  “In order for it to be fully effective, this technology must be used in conjunction with the experience, skill and intuition of human recruiters and hiring managers.”

IT Jobs Post First Monthly Gain So Far This Year, Albeit a Small One

Daily News, May 13, 2019

IT employment in the US posted its first monthly gain so far this year in April, but the gain is modest, the TechServe Alliance reported.  The number of IT job rose 0.03% in April when compared to March resulting in total IT jobs of approximately 5,300,000, according to the trade association for the IT and engineering staffing and solution industry.

“After 3 consecutive months of decline, I welcome April’s gains — modest though they may be,” TechServe Alliance CEO Mark Roberts said.  “While encouraged by the shift into positive territory, we believe that the ability to grow IT employment will continue to be under pressure given the significant talent shortage and ever more restrictive immigration policies for high-skilled foreign nationals.”

On a year-over-year basis, IT employment was up by 0.14%, representing the addition of just 7,300 IT workers.

Turning to engineering jobs, employment rose by 0.08% in April compared to March for a total of approximately 2,600,000 jobs.  Year-over-year, engineering jobs rose by 2.28%, representing an increase of 59,000 engineering workers.

Economists Raise US Job Growth Forecast

Daily News, May 10, 2019

Economists raised their estimate for US job gains this year and in 2020, according to the first-quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters released today by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

The projections for the annual average level of nonfarm payroll employment now suggest job gains at a monthly rate of 200,100 in 2019, up from the previous estimate of 191,800.  The forecast now calls for new jobs added monthly in 2020 to fall to 142,300, up from the previous estimate of 123,200.

The outlook for GDP growth in the US economy over the next four quarters is slightly weaker than that of the last survey.  The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.9% this quarter and 2.1% next quarter, down from the previous estimates of 2.4% and 2.2%, respectively.  On an annual-average over annual-average basis, the panel predicts real GDP will grow between 1.9% and 2.6% from 2019 to 2022.

A lower path for the unemployment rate accompanies the outlook for growth.  The forecasters predict the unemployment rate will average between 3.6% and 3.9% from 2019 to 2022.  Notably, the projections for 2021 and 2022 are both 0.3 percentage point below those from the last survey.

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is based on a poll of 40 economists.

Filling Jobs Difficult for Majority of Firms, About Half Raise Wages to Boost Recruitment: ISM

Daily News, May 8, 2019

A majority of companies reported difficulty filling open positions in the past 6 months, and about half are raising wages to attract workers, according to the “Spring 2019 Semiannual Economic Forecast” released today by the Institute for Supply Management.  However, manufacturing firms are reporting slightly more difficulty finding workers than nonmanufacturing firms and are slightly more apt to raise wages to recruit new hires.

In the report’s survey, 76.0% of manufacturing firms reported difficulty hiring workers to fill open positions in the past six months.  In response to the tight market, 53.7% of manufacturing firms raised wages to recruit new hires.

Among nonmanufacturing firms, 70% said they had difficulty hiring workers to fill open positions in the past 6 months.  However, less than half, 48.1%, raised wages to recruit new hires.

Offering additional training to new hires was not used as much as raising wages by both manufacturing and nonmanufacturing firms.

Among manufacturers, 44.4% said they offered additional training for new hires while 55.6% did not.  It was a similar story for nonmanufacturing firms; 45.5% offered additional training to new hires in the past 6 months; 54.5% did not.

Still, both manufacturers and nonmanufacturing firms reported they planned to increase employment by the end of the year.  Manufacturers expect employment to rise by a net 2.0% by the end of the year compared to the end of 2018.  However, the forecast was down from the prediction of 2.4% in a similar survey in December.

Nonmanufacturing firms expect employment to increase by a net 1.3% at the end of 2019.compared to the end of 2018.  That compares to a net 2.0% forecast in the December survey.

Overall, the report said US economic growth is expected to continue throughout 2019.

Flexible Schedule, Leaving Early on Fridays are Employees’ Best Summer Perks

Daily News, May 7, 2019

Employees say the best summer perks are flexible schedules and early departures from work, according to survey findings released by Accountemps, a division of Robert Half International Inc.

The survey found that 52% of employees think flexible schedules are the best summer perk, followed by 27% who cited leaving early on Fridays.

Only 11% of employees cited a “more relaxed dress code” and even fewer said the best summer perk was an activity such as a company picnic or potluck at 10%.

What summer perks do employers actually offer?

Accountemps said a separate portion of the survey that measured the response of management found that 54% offered flexible schedules, and 53% offered a more relaxed dress code.  As far as leaving early on Fridays, 32% offered that.  And although it ranked relatively low for employees, 48% offered an activity such as a picnic or potluck.

Only 10% of those in management said their company does not offer any of those summer perks.

The survey included responses from more than 2,800 workers in the US and more than 2,800 senior managers in the US at companies with 20 or more employees.

The new ADP/Moody’s National Employment Report:  Almost all the job growth in May 2019 came from Large Companies

June 5, 2019

Private sector employment increased by 27,000 jobs from April to May (a 244,000 job decrease from April’s downwardly ‘revised’ 271,000*), according to the May ADP National Employment Report®.  *The March total of jobs added was revised down from 275,000 to 271,000.

This report is produced by ADP® in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics.  The matched sample used to develop the ADP National Employment Report® was derived from ADP payroll data, which represents 411,000 U.S. clients employing nearly 24,000,000 workers in the U.S.

By Company Size

Small businesses:              <-52,000>

1-19 employees                  <-50,000>

20-49 employees                  <-2,000>

Medium businesses:             11,000

50-499 employees                  11,000

Large businesses:                 68,000

500-999 employees                   9,000

1,000+ employees                   59,000

By Sector

I.  Goods-producing:                            <-43,000>

A.  Natural resources/mining                     <-4,000>

B.  Construction                                        <-36,000>

C.  Manufacturing                                       <-3,000>

II.  Service-providing:                            71,000

A.  Trade/transportation/utilities                            0

B.  Information                                            <-3,000>

C.  Financial activities                                               13,000

D.  Professional/business services                 22,000

                        1.  Professional/technical services                              14,000

                        2.  Management of companies/enterprises                     3,000

                        3.  Administrative/support services                               5,000

            E.  Education/health services                         33,000

                        1.  Health care/social assistance                                  34,000

                        2.  Education                                                               <-1,000>

            F.  Leisure/hospitality                                    16,000

            G.  Other services                                         <-9,000>

Franchise Employment

Franchise Jobs                        <-4,800>

“Following an overly strong April, May marked the smallest gain since the expansion began,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute.  “Large companies continue to remain strong as they are better equipped to compete for labor in the tight labor market.”

Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, “Job growth is moderating.  Labor shortages are impeding job growth, particularly at small companies, and layoffs at brick-and-mortar retailers are hurting.”

(The June 2019 ADP National Employment Report will be released at 8:15 a.m. ET on July 3, 2019.)

Due to the important contribution that small businesses make to economic growth, employment data that is specific to businesses with 49 or fewer employees is reported each month in the ADP Small Business Report®, a subset of the ADP National Employment Report.

May 2019 Small Business Report Highlights

Total Small Business Employment:             <-52,000> (a 129,000 decrease)

●By Size  
►1-19 employees     <-50,000>
►20-49 employees <-2,000>
   
●By Sector for 1-49 Employees  
►Goods Producing <-33,000>
►Service Producing <-19,000>
   
●By Sector for 1-19 Employees  
►Goods Producing <-24,000>
►Service Producing <-26,000>
   
●By Sector for 20-49 Employees  
►Goods Producing <-8,000>
►Service Producing <-7,000>

Bottom-line:  To my audience of recruiters, always remember this:  Our ‘bread and butter’, especially on the contingency side of the house, has historically been, and continues to be, small and medium-sized client companies.  Along with the large companies, these companies need to be in included in your niche!

Job Openings and Labor Turnover – April 2019

June 10, 2019

 
The number of job openings was little changed at 7,400,000 on the last business day of April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.  Over the month, hires edged up to 5,900,000, and separations were little changed at 5,600,000.  Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.3% and the layoffs and discharges rate was little changed at 1.2%.  This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by 4 geographic regions.
 
Job Openings
 
On the last business day of April, the job openings level was little changed at 7,400,000.  The job openings rate was 4.7%.  The number of job openings was little changed for total private and for government.  The job openings level increased in federal government (+22,000) and educational services (+20,000).  Job openings decreased in professional and business services (-172,000).  The number of job openings was little changed in all 4 regions.
 
Hires
 
The number of hires edged up to a series high of 5,900,000 (+240,000) in April.  The hires rate was 3.9%.  The hires level edged up for total private (+217,000) and was little changed for government.  Hires increased in real estate and rental and leasing (+34,000).  The number of hires was little changed in all 4 regions.
 
Separations
 
Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations.  Total separations is referred to as turnover.  Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee.  Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs.  Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer.  Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm.
 
The number of total separations was little changed at 5,600,000 in April.  The total separations rate was 3.7%.  The number of total separations was little changed for total private and for government.  The total separations level increased in real estate and rental and leasing (+43,000) but decreased in federal government (-10,000).  The number of total separations was little changed in all 4 regions.
 
The number of quits was little changed in April at 3,500,000.  The quits rate was 2.3%.   The quits level was little changed for total private and for government.  Quits increased in real estate and rental and leasing (+28,000) and in state and local government, excluding education (+13,000), but decreased in federal government (-8,000).  The number of quits decreased in the Northeast region.
 
The number of layoffs and discharges was little changed in April at 1,800,000.  The layoffs and discharges rate was 1.2%.  The layoffs and discharges level was little changed for total private and for government.  The number of layoffs and discharges increased in real estate and rental and leasing (+15,000).  The layoffs and discharges level was little changed in all 4 regions.
 
The number of other separations was little changed in April.  The other separations level was little changed for total private and for government.  Other separations increased in accommodation and food services (+14,000).  The number of other separations was little changed in all 4 regions.
 
Net Change in Employment
 
Large numbers of hires and separations occur every month throughout the business cycle.  Net employment change results from the relationship between hires and separations.  When the number of hires exceeds the number of separations, employment rises, even if the hires level is steady or declining.  Conversely, when the number of hires is less than the number of separations, employment declines, even if the hires level is steady or rising.  Over the 12 months ending in April, hires totaled 69,600,000 and separations totaled 66,800,000, yielding a net employment gain of 2,800,000.  These totals include 
workers who may have been hired and separated more than once during the year.
____________
 
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey results for May 2019 are scheduled to be released on Tuesday, July 9, 2019 at 10:00 a.m. (EDT).
 
 

As we recruiters know, that 7,400,000 number only represents 20% of the jobs currently available in the marketplace.  The other 80% of job openings are unpublished and are filled through networking or word of mouth or by using a RECRUITER.  So, those 7,400,000 published job openings now become a total of 37,000,000 published AND hidden job orders.

In May there were 5,888,000 unemployed workers.  What was the main reason why those workers were unemployed?  Two Words:  Structural Unemployment.  If we can’t figure out how to educate and/or reeducate those 5,888,000 unemployed, then they will keep reappearing each month as a BLS unemployment statistic—as they have.  In the meantime, our recruitment marketplace continues to flourish!

Online Labor Demand Declined in May

June 5, 2019

*In May, losses were widespread across most States and MSAs

*Majority of occupations showed declines over the month

The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index declined in May.  The Index now stands at 101.5 (July 2018=100), down from 103.9 in April.  The Index declined 2.3% from the prior month but is up 3.1% from a year ago.  

In the Midwest, Nebraska declined 2.8% and Michigan fell 2.9%.  In the Northeast, Rhode Island declined 5.6% and New Jersey fell 3.7%.  In the South, Delaware fell 7.9% and West Virginia declined 3.2%.  In the West, Washington dropped 3.1% and Nevada declined 2.8%.

The Professional occupational category saw losses in Computer and Mathematical Science (-3.6%) and Business and Financial Operations (-3.3%).  The Services/Production occupational category saw losses in Production (-3.3%), Transportation (-2.9%), and Installation, Maintenance, and Repair (-2.9%).

The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index measures changes over time in advertised online job vacancies, reflecting monthly trends in employment opportunities across the US.  The HWOL Data Series aggregates the total number of ads available by month from the HWOL universe of online job ads.  Ads in the HWOL universe are collected in real-time from over 28,000 different online job boards including traditional job boards, corporate boards, social media sites, and smaller job sites that serve niche markets and smaller geographic areas.

Like The Conference Board’s long-running Help Wanted Advertising Index of print ads (which was published for over 55 years and discontinued in July 2008), Help Wanted OnLine™ measures help wanted advertising, i.e. labor demand.  The HWOL Data Series began in May 2005 and was revised in December 2018 to reflect a new universe and methodology of online job advertisements and therefore cannot be used in conjunction with the pre-revised HWOL Data Series.  With the December 2018 release, The Conference Board released the experimental HWOL Index for the specific purpose of providing a robust time series for measuring changes in labor demand over time.  It improves upon the HWOL Data Series’ ability to assess local labor market trends by reducing volatility and non-economic noise and improving correlation with local labor market conditions.  Both the HWOL Data Series and the experimental HWOL Index begin in January 2012.

The next release is Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 10 AM.

U-6 Update

In May 2019 the regular unemployment rate remained at 3.6% and the broader U-6 measure dropped .2% to 7.1%.

The above 7.1% is referred to as the U-6 unemployment rate (found in the monthly BLS Employment Situation Summary, Table A-15; Table A-12 in 2008 and before).  It counts not only people without work seeking full-time employment (the more familiar U-3 rate), but also counts “marginally attached workers and those working part-time for economic reasons.”  Note that some of these part-time workers counted as employed by U-3 could be working as little as an hour a week.  And the “marginally attached workers” include those who have gotten discouraged and stopped looking, but still want to work.  The age considered for this calculation is 16 years and over.

Here is a look at the May U-6 numbers for the past 16 years:

May 2018                    7.6%

May 2017                    8.4%

May 2016                    9.7%

May 2015                    10.7%

May 2014                    12.1%

May 2013                    13.8%

May 2012                    14.8%

May 2011                    15.8%

May 2010                    16.5%

May 2009                    16.4%

May 2008                    9.8%

May 2007                    8.3%

May 2006                    8.2%

May 2005                    8.9%

May 2004                    9.7%

May 2003                    10.1%

The May 2019 BLS Analysis

Total nonfarm payroll employment edged up in May (+75,000).  Monthly job gains have averaged 164,000 in 2019, compared with an average gain of 223,000 per month in 2018.  In May, employment continued to trend up in professional and business services and in health care.
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for March was revised down from +189,000 to +153,000, and the change for April was revised down from +263,000 to +224,000.  With these revisions, employment gains in March and April combined were 75,000 less than previously reported.  (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)  After revisions, job gains have averaged 151,000 per month over the last 3 months.

The unemployment rate is also published by the BLS.  That rate is found by dividing the number of unemployed by the total civilian labor force.  On June 7th, 2019, the BLS published the most recent unemployment rate for May 2019 of 3.6% (actually, it is 3.620% up by .035% from 3.585% in April 2019.

The unemployment rate was determined by dividing the unemployed of 5,888,000 (–up from the month before by 64,000—since May 2018 this number has decreased by 240,000) by the total civilian labor force of 162,646,000 (up by 176,000 from April 2019).  Since May 2018, our total civilian labor force has increased by 979,000 workers.

(The continuing ‘Strange BLS Math’ saga—after a detour in December 2016 when the BLS {for the first time in years} DECREASED the total Civilian Noninstitutional Population—this month the BLS again increased this total to 258,861,000.  This is an increase of 168,000 from last month’s increase of 156,000.  In one year’s time, this population has increased by 1,407,000. For the last 3 years the Civilian Noninstitutional Population has increased each month—except in December 2016 & December 2018—by…)

Up from April 2019 by 168,000
Up from March 2019 by 156,000
Up from February 2019 by 145,000
Up from January 2019 by 153,000
Down from December 2018 by 649,000
Up from November 2018 by 180,000
Up from October 2018 by 194,000
Up from September 2018 by 224,000
Up from August 2018 by 224,000
Up from July 2018 by 223,000
Up from June 2018 by 201,000
Up from May 2018 by 188,000
Up from April 2018 by 182,000
Up from March 2018 by 175,000
Up from February 2018 by 163,000
Up from January 2018 by 154,000
Up from December 2017 by 671,000
Up from November 2017 by 160,000
Up from October 2017 by 183,000
Up from September 2017 by 204,000
Up from August 2017 by 205,000
Up from July 2017 by 206,000
Up from June 2017 by 194,000
Up from May 2017 by 173,000
Up from April 2017 by 179,000
Up from March 2017 by 174,000
Up from February 2017 by 168,000
Up from January 2017 by 164,000
Down from December 2016 by 660,000
Up from November 2016 by 202,000
Up from October 2016 by 219,000
Up from September 2016 by 230,000
Up from August 2016 by 237,000
Up from July 2016 by 234,000
Up from June 2016 by 223,000
Up from May 2016 by 223,000
Up from April 2016 by 205,000

This month the BLS has increased the Civilian Labor Force to 162,646,000 (up from April by 176,000).

Subtract the second number (‘civilian labor force’) from the first number (‘civilian noninstitutional population’) and you get 96,215,000 ‘Not in Labor Force’—down by 8,000 from last month’s 96,223,000.  In one year’s time, this NILF population has increased by 428,000.  The government tells us that most of these NILFs got discouraged and just gave up looking for a job.  My monthly recurring question is: “If that is the case, how do they survive when they don’t earn any money because they don’t have a job?  Are they ALL relying on the government to support them??”

This month, our Employment Participation Rate—the population 16 years and older working or seeking work—remained at 62.8%.  This is .4% above the historically low rate of 62.4% recorded in September 2015—and, before that, the rate recorded in October 1977—9 months into Jimmy Carter’s presidency—almost 40 years ago!

Final take on these numbers:  Fewer people looking for work will always bring down the unemployment rate.

Anyway, back to the point I am trying to make.  On the surface, these new unemployment rates are scary, but let’s look a little deeper and consider some other numbers.

The unemployment rate includes all types of workers—construction workers, government workers, etc.  We recruiters, on the other hand, mainly place management, professional and related types of workers.  That unemployment rate in May was 1.7% (this rate was .1% higher than last month’s 1.6%).  Or, you can look at it another way.  We usually place people who have college degrees.  That unemployment rate in May was 2.1% (this rate was the same as last month’s 2.1%).

Now stay with me a little longer.  This gets better.  It’s important to understand (and none of the pundits mention this) that the unemployment rate, for many reasons, will never be 0%, no matter how good the economy is.  Without boring you any more than I have already, let me add here that Milton Friedman (the renowned Nobel Prize-winning economist), is famous for the theory of the “natural rate of unemployment” (or the term he preferred, NAIRU, which is the acronym for Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment).  Basically, this theory states that full employment presupposes an ‘unavoidable and acceptable’ unemployment rate of somewhere between 4-6% with it.  Economists often settle on 5%, although the “New Normal Unemployment Rate” has been suggested to fall at 6.7%.

Nevertheless (if you will allow me to apply a ‘macro’ concept to a ‘micro’ issue), if this rate is applied to our main category of Management, Professional and Related types of potential recruits, and/or our other main category of College-Degreed potential recruits, we are well below the 4-6% threshold for full employment…we find no unemployment!  None!  Zilch!  A Big Goose Egg! 

THE IMPORTANCE OF GDP

“The economic goal of any nation, as of any individual, is to get the greatest results with the least effort.  The whole economic progress of mankind has consisted in getting more production with the same labor…Translated into national terms, this first principle means that our real objective is to maximize production.  In doing this, full employment—that is, the absence of involuntary idleness—becomes a necessary by-product.  But production is the end, employment merely the means.  We cannot continuously have the fullest production without full employment.  But we can very easily have full employment without full production.”

–Economics in One Lesson, by Henry Hazlitt, Chapter X, “The Fetish of Full Employment”

 
 
On May 30th, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) announced the real gross domestic product (GDP) -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 3.1% in the first quarter of 2019, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.  In the fourth quarter of 2018, real GDP increased 2.2%.
 

The “second” GDP estimate is based on more complete source data than were available for the “advance” estimate issued last month.   In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP in the first quarter was 3.2%.  The “second” estimate reflects downward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment and private inventory investment and upward revisions to exports and personal consumption expenditures (PCE).  Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised up; the general picture of economic growth remains the same.

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected positive contributions from PCE, private inventory investment, exports, state and local government spending, and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by a negative contribution from residential fixed investment.  Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

The acceleration in real GDP in the first quarter reflected an upturn in state and local government spending, accelerations in private inventory investment and in exports, and a smaller decrease in residential investment.  These movements were partly offset by decelerations in PCE and nonresidential fixed investment, and a downturn in federal government spending.  Imports turned down.

Three Update Releases to GDP
 
BEA releases 3 vintages of the current quarterly estimate for GDP:  "Advance" estimates are released near the end of the first month following the end of the quarter and are based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency; “second” and “third” estimates are released near the end of the second and third months, respectively, and are based on more detailed and more comprehensive data as they become available.
 

*          *          *

 
(First Quarter 2019 “Third Estimate” will be released on June 27, 2019)
 
 
 

IT IS IMPOSSIBLE FOR UNEMPLOYMENT EVER TO BE ZERO

‘Unemployment’ is an emotional ‘trigger’ word…a ‘third rail’, if you will.  It conjures up negative thoughts.  But it is important to realize that, while we want everyone who wants a job to have the opportunity to work, unemployment can never be zero and, in fact, can be disruptive to an economy if it gets too close to zero.  Very low unemployment can actually hurt the economy by creating an upward pressure on wages which invariably leads to higher production costs and prices.  This can lead to inflation.  The lowest the unemployment rate has been in the US was 2.5%.  That was in May and June 1953 when the economy overheated due to the Korean War.  When this bubble burst, it kicked off the Recession of 1953.  A healthy economy will always include some percentage of unemployment.

There are five main sources of unemployment:

1.  Cyclical (or demand-deficient) unemployment – This type of unemployment fluctuates with the business cycle.  It rises during a recession and falls during the subsequent recovery.  Workers who are most affected by this type of unemployment are laid off during a recession when production volumes fall, and companies use lay-offs as the easiest way to reduce costs.  These workers are usually rehired, some months later, when the economy improves.

2.  Frictional unemployment – This comes from the normal turnover in the labor force.  This is where new workers are entering the workforce and older workers are retiring and leaving vacancies to be filled by the new workers or those re-entering the workforce.  This category includes workers who are between jobs.

3.  Structural unemployment – This happens when the skills possessed by the unemployed worker don’t match the requirements of the opening—whether those be in characteristics and skills or in location.  This can come from new technology or foreign competition (e.g., foreign outsourcing).  This type of unemployment usually lasts longer than frictional unemployment because retraining, and sometimes relocation, is involved.  Occasionally jobs in this category can just disappear overseas.

4.  Seasonal unemployment – This happens when the workforce is affected by the climate or time of year.  Construction workers and agricultural workers aren’t needed as much during the winter season because of the inclement weather.  On the other hand, retail workers experience an increase in hiring shortly before, and during, the holiday season, but can be laid off shortly thereafter.

5.  Surplus unemployment – This is caused by minimum wage laws and unions.  When wages are set at a higher level, unemployment can often result.  Why?  To keep within the same payroll budget, the company must let go of some workers to pay the remaining workers a higher salary.

Other factors influencing the unemployment rate:

1.  Length of unemployment – Some studies indicate that an important factor influencing a worker’s decision to accept a new job is directly related to the length of the unemployment benefit they are receiving.  Currently, in 2019, workers in most states are eligible for up to 26 weeks of benefits from the regular state-funded unemployment compensation program.  One state (MT) offers more and ten states offer less.  Studies suggest that additional weeks of benefits reduce the incentive of the unemployed to seek and accept less-desirable jobs.

2.  Changes in GDP – Since hiring workers takes time, the improvement in the unemployment rate usually lags the improvement in the GDP.

WHERE RECRUITERS PLACE

Now back to the issue at hand, namely the recruiting, and placing, of professionals and those with college degrees.

If you look at the past few years of unemployment in the May “management, professional and related” types of worker category, you will find the following rates:

May 2018                    1.7%

May 2017                    1.9%

May 2016                    2.1%

May 2015                    2.4%

May 2014                    3.1%

May 2013                    3.5%

May 2012                    4.0%

May 2011                    4.4%

May 2010                    4.5%

May 2009                    4.3%

May 2008                    2.6%

May 2007                    1.9%

May 2006                    2.0%

May 2005                    2.4%

May 2004                    2.8%

May 2003                    3.0%

May 2002                    3.1%

May 2001                    2.0%

May 2000                    1.8%

Here are the rates, during those same time periods, for “college-degreed” workers:

May 2018                    2.0%

May 2017                    2.3%

May 2016                    2.4%

May 2015                    2.7%

May 2014                    3.2%

May 2013                    3.8%

May 2012                    3.9%

May 2011                    4.5%

May 2010                    4.6%

May 2009                    4.8%

May 2008                    2.3%

May 2007                    2.0%

May 2006                    2.1%

May 2005                    2.4%

May 2004                    2.9%

May 2003                    3.1%

May 2002                    3.0%

May 2001                    2.1%

May 2000                    1.6%

The May 2019 rates for these two categories, 1.7% and 2.1%, respectively, are very low again this month and are at, or close to, the halcyon numbers we attained last year and in the 2006-2008, 2000-2001, & 2018-time frames.  But regardless, these unemployment numbers usually include a good number of job hoppers, job shoppers and rejects.  We, on the other hand, are engaged by our client companies to find those candidates who are happy, well-appreciated, making good money and currently working and we entice them to move for even better opportunities—especially where new technologies are expanding.  This will never change.  And that is why, no matter the overall unemployment rate, we still need to MARKET to find the best possible job orders to work and we still need to RECRUIT to find the best possible candidates for those Job Orders.

Below are the numbers for the over 25-year old’s:

Less than H.S. diploma – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
7.7% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 9.8% 10.4% 10.6% 10.9%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
12.0% 12.6% 13.3% 14.8% 15.5% 15.5% 15.4% 15.6% 15.0% 15.5% 15.0% 15.3%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
15.2% 15.6% 14.5% 14.7% 15.0% 14.1% 13.8% 14.0% 15.4% 15.3% 15.7% 15.3%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
14.2% 13.9% 13.7% 14.6% 14.7% 14.3% 15.0% 14.3% 14.0% 13.8% 13.2% 13.8%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
13.1% 12.9% 12.6% 12.5% 13.0% 12.6% 12.7% 12.0% 11.3% 12.2% 12.2% 11.7%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
12.0% 11.2% 11.1% 11.6% 11.1% 10.7% 11.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3% 6.8% 6.7%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
7.4% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 7.1% 7.5% 6.3% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 7.9% 7.9%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
7.3% 7.9% 6.8% 6.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.9% 6.0% 6.5% 5.7% 5.2% 6.3%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
5.4% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 5.7% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 5.8%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% 5.4%              

H.S. Grad; no college – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.8% 6.3% 6.5% 6.9% 7.7%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
8.1% 8.3% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 9.8% 9.4% 9.7% 10.8% 11.2% 10.4% 10.5%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
10.1% 10.5% 10.8% 10.6% 10.9% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.0% 10.1% 10.0% 9.8%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.7% 9.5% 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% 8.8% 8.7%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.4% 8.1% 8.0%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
8.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.3% 7.3% 7.1%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.8% 6.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.7% 5.6% 5.3%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.4% 5.6%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
5.3% 5.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 4.9% 5.1%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
5.2% 5.0% 4.9% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5%              

Some College; or AA/AS – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
3.7% 3.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
8.5% 8.0% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.7% 8.1%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
8.0% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.3% 7.6% 7.7%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
7.2% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.6% 6.9%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.4% 5.4% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
5.2% 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.1%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.9% 3.8%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
3.4% 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 2.8%              

BS/BS + – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
4.8% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 4.8%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 3.8% 3.4% 3.3%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 2.8%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1%              

Management, Professional & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4.6%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
4.7% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.2%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 4.5% 3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 3.9%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.1% 3.8% 3.5% 3.4% 3.1% 2.9%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
2.9% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.7%              

Or employed…(,000)

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
52,165 52,498 52,681 52,819 52,544 52,735 52,655 52,626 53,104 53,485 53,274 52,548
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
52,358 52,196 52,345 52,597 52,256 51,776 51,810 51,724 52,186 52,981 52,263 52,131
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
52,159 52,324 52,163 52,355 51,839 51,414 50,974 50,879 51,757 51,818 52,263 51,704
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
51,866 52,557 53,243 53,216 52,778 52,120 51,662 51,997 52,665 52,864 52,787 52,808
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
53,152 53,208 53,771 54,055 54,156 53,846 53,165 53,696 54,655 55,223 54,951 54,635
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
54,214 54,563 54,721 54,767 54,740 54,323 54,064 54,515 55,013 55,155 55,583 54,880
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
55,096 55,501 56,036 55,896 56,202 55,714 55,381 55,646 56,365 56,759 57,110 56,888
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
57,367 57,596 57,805 57,953 58,155 57,710 57,392 57,288 58,105 58,456 58,667 59,030
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
59,014 59,583 60,080 59,690 59,613 59,181 58,434 58,526 59,599 59,766 59,707 60,069
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
59,921 61,064 61,156 61,317 61,174 60,705 59,923 59,559 60,990 61,062 61,818 62,121
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
62,123 62,908 63,067 62,561 62,360 61,349 61,433 61,593 62,181 62,929 63,084 63,642
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
63,818 64,281 64,299 63,560 63,594              

And unemployed…(,000)

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
1,164 1,159 1,121 1,088 1,407 1,478 1,585 1,779 1,539 1,647 1,786 1,802
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
2,238 2,137 2,292 2,164 2,373 2,720 3,034 2,925 2,859 2,593 2,530 2,509
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
2,762 2,637 2,600 2,464 2,450 2,644 2,687 2,762 2,381 2,417 2,525 2,468
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
2,557 2,435 2,381 2,196 2,419 2,598 2,742 2,671 2,450 2,410 2,336 2,303
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
2,410 2,336 2,330 2,062 2,275 2,472 2,666 2,556 2,245 2,170 2,077 2,221
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
2,211 2,164 2,020 1,980 1,990 2,358 2,286 2,130 1,978 1,930 1,749 1,637
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
1,784 1,845 1,890 1,642 1,795 2,001 2,011 1,930 1,617 1,582 1,656 1,568
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
1,741 1,601 1,398 1,435 1,460 1,714 1,807 1,686 1,414 1,312 1,276 1,208
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
1,404 1,456 1,477 1,251 1,305 1,712 1,782 1,869 1,652 1,506 1,382 1,361
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
1,425 1,313 1,265 1,254 1,208 1,440 1,656 1,731 1,463 1,285 1,266 1,290
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
1,374 1,301 1,310 1,134 1,083 1,575 1,539 1,591 1,299 1,246 1,330 1,368
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
1,607 1,317 1,289 1,040 1,086              

For a total Management, Professional & Related workforce of…(,000)

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
53,329 53,657 53,802 53,907 53,951 54,213 54,240 54,405 54,643 55,132 55,060 54,350
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
54,596 54,333 54,637 54,761 54,629 54,496 54,844 54,649 55,045 55,574 54,793 54,640
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
54,921 54,961 54,763 54,819 54,289 54,058 53,661 53,641 54,138 54,235 54,788 54,172
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
54,423 54,992 55,624 55,412 55,197 54,718 54,404 54,668 55,115 55,274 55,123 55,111
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
55,562 55,544 56,101 56,117 56,431 56,318 55,831 56,252 56,900 57,393 57,028 56,856
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
56,425 56,727 56,741 56,747 56,730 56,681 56,350 56,645 56,991 57,085 57,332 56,517
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
56,880 57,346 57,926 57,538 57,997 57,715 57,392 57,576 57,982 58,341 58,766 58,456
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
59,108 59,197 59,203 59,388 59,615 59,424 59,199 58,974 59,519 59,768 59,943 60,238
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
60,418 61,039 61,557 60,941 60,918 60,893 60,216 60,395 61,251 61,272 61,089 61,430
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
61,346 62,377 62,421 62,571 62,382 62,145 61,579 61,290 62,453 62,347 63,084 63,411
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
63,497 64,209 64,377 63,695 63,443 62,924 62,972 63,184 63,480 64,175 64,414 65,010
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
65,425 65,598 65,588 64,600 64,680              

Management, Business and Financial Operations – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
5.3% 4.9% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.5% 4.4% 4.4% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.1%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 3.1%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.4%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 1.5%              

Professional & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
4.9% 4.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 5.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
4.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 5.1% 4.4% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 4.3% 3.9% 3.5% 3.8%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
3.8% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.6% 4.7% 4.0% 3.6% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
2.9% 2.7% 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 3.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8%              

Sales & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 7.0%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
7.7% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 8.9% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 9.5% 9.1% 8.9%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
10.1% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.4% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 8.8% 8.3%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
9.3% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 7.8% 7.7%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
8.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.3% 8.6% 7.9% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
8.5% 8.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.3% 7.0% 6.3%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
7.1% 7.7% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 6.2% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.3% 5.0%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.4% 5.6% 5.3% 5.1% 4.3%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.2% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
5.2% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
4.5% 5.0% 4.6% 3.9% 3.6%